📰 This Week’s Market Intel Drop
Markets bounced hard after last weekend’s 4.5–5% drop, which sent BTC to 76K — all sparked by rising trade war fears from President Trump.
Here’s the quick breakdown of what's going on in crypto land:
🇺🇸 What’s Driving Markets?
- Trump’s New “Tariff” Plan: Not traditional tariffs — he’s calling them levies.
- Using emergency powers + Section 301 probes on trading partners.
- Mixed signals = uncertainty.
- Powell’s FOMC Comments:
- Inflation is still a concern, but trade war impact may be transitory
- No rate cuts anytime soon, employment still strong.
- Consumer Confidence Crashing 📉
- Lowest since Jan 2021
- Especially bad among 55+ age group
- FED isn’t too worried, but PCE (Friday) is the real key macro signal.
💥 Market Moves & Reactions
- BTC rebounded to 88K, but struggling at resistance.
- Stocks also bounced, including $TSLA, which I added on the dip.
- Memecoins saw action, including FARTCOIN, which I’m bidding in the 0.3–0.5 range.
📊 What’s Next?
- Friday’s PCE report is the big one:
- YoY inflation expected at 2.5%
- Core PCE may tick up to 2.7%
- April 2 Tariffs still coming — we don’t know exactly what form yet.
- Quarterly expiry coming Friday; open interest near $100K BTC not expected to trigger major moves.
👀 My Current Positioning
- Bias: Defensive — macro still soft, trade war unclear.
- Watching for dips to 82–83K, possibly back to 73K
- If PCE drops, we could rally to 92K short-term.
- Not deploying heavily unless BTC drops near 76K again or trade war clears.
🔐 Bonus Notes
- Long-term Solana buy zone: Under $120
- BTC long zone: Under $80K
- Hedging with April/May $55 IBIT calls
- Riding $TSLA longs for potential move to $300+
If you want a real insiders edge -> see this page!
- Matt